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Niccolò Machiavelli - A Deep Scrutiny of his Philosophy and Tactics by Andrian-TQM in philosophy

[–]lughnasadh 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I'm utterly fascinated by Machiavelli too, I see 'The Art of War' by Sun Tzu as in many ways as a companion book.

That said, one of the most revelatory insights for me about Machiavelli was to consider 'The Prince' a work of deep satire.

Yes, it is a handbook for operating cynical power.

But it's deeper, and truer meaning is to satirize and criticize this outlook - what do you think?

If Theresa May's full cabinet approve the ideas put forward by Thursday's 'war cabinet', the Government will be formally adopting a Brexit policy which has already been rejected piecemeal by the EU by CupTheBallls in ukpolitics

[–]lughnasadh 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Let's just start by putting this out there: that is a negotiating position and not a reflection of reality.

Over and over and over again the Brexiters misunderstand the situation they find themselves in.

This is not a traditional "you give a little/I give a little" negotiation.

What the Brexiters are asking of the EU is that it destroys its rasion d' etre, hegemony, and leaves itself open to destructive break up via future cherry pickingfrom the other EU27 (all bad for EU) in return for giving the UK goodies it wants.

What the Brexiters are asking of the EU is lose:lose for it.

It is never going to agree to something so destructive of the European project.

It's pitiable the UK government still clings to this, this late in the game. But it's very telling. After all these years - there is no positive economic reality for the UK in Europe after Brexit & they know it.

Norway to spend $13 million to upgrade 'doomsday' Arctic seed vault by mvea in Futurology

[–]lughnasadh 61 points62 points  (0 children)

Elon’s brother does that I think

Cheap plug I know.

But you can ask him yourself if you want.

Kimbal is doing an AMA on r/futurology next Tuesday at 1130 EST.

Paris ... Open for business again ? by lughnasadh in Counterpart

[–]lughnasadh[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Its a hotel in LA, the Westin Bonaventure, which is odd as it looks like something from the days of East Berlin.

Labor 2030: The Collision of Demographics, Automation and Inequality by lughnasadh in Economics

[–]lughnasadh[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

The governments of the world can run large, persistent budget deficits to pump up demand in the economy and the central bankers can keep interest rates at zero for as long as needed.

I agree that traditional Keynesian prescription has worked in the past.

But how do you sustain "demand" when you need humans for labor less and less, as the years go by?

Ditto, zero interest rates - investing for who to buy what - AI & robot workers don't go shopping?

Labor 2030: The Collision of Demographics, Automation and Inequality by lughnasadh in Economics

[–]lughnasadh[S] 46 points47 points  (0 children)

What I like about this, is that it mentions demand constraints - the obvious consequence of wage suppression & job elimination. Also, its honest about the likelihood of political demands (we can feel already) of government interventions of different kinds in different countries.

To me all this begs more questions than it answers.

Rapid take-over of economic sectors by AI/robotics would presumably lead to ongoing deflation - we have an economic growth model that can't cope with deflation, what happens there?

As more work, previously doable by humans, become machine doable - why would anyone want to employ the human choice for future jobs? (as opposed to the 24/7/365, never needs healthcare choice).

That last point to me, seems a big counter argument that previously displaced humans eventually found new work.

Thoughts on Paul Thomas Anderson's “Phantom Thread” (contains spoilers) by last_sky in TrueFilm

[–]lughnasadh 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I agree it works very well as a twisted dark comedy, and Lesley Manville does a brilliant job of being sotto voce hilarious.

I guess, what puts me off is the amount of reviews touting it as some profound love story.

Once you stop thinking of it that way .....

Twisted dark comedy is much more in line with the rest of PTA's work too.

British Isles 'worst for flooding' as Europe hits 'breaking point' by mikatom in europe

[–]lughnasadh 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Well you know how to stop it happening ....

But English/British nationalists like using it on the sub for a bit of s*** stirring, so that won't happen.

Thoughts on Paul Thomas Anderson's “Phantom Thread” (contains spoilers) by last_sky in TrueFilm

[–]lughnasadh 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I'm surprised at all the great reviews this gets, I found it weird and unlikable.

There's loads to technically admire, e.g. great acting & the scoring is brilliant.

Without giving too much plot away, when we finally come to understand all the characters - I was left feeling cold at what kind of story PTA was trying to tell.

You realize a character you initially took as charming was an unpleasant manipulative sociopath, most people would run a mile from.

Yet by the end we're still supposed to find them charming, if not more sympathetic.

I also didn't get the framing of this movie - why is it told in flashbacks to the shifty eyed doctor character?

Island Monkeys by AbeltonSkive in northernireland

[–]lughnasadh 42 points43 points  (0 children)

The 2 French girls had never heard of Northern Ireland, just Ireland.

You think that's bad?

I lived in Britain for years, and was regularly asked where I came from by English people.

When I'd answer "Dublin".

I'd often hear back, "Is that in the North or the South?"

We’re the team running Y Combinator Research’s basic income project. Ask Us Anything! by YCRBasicIncomeTeam in Futurology

[–]lughnasadh 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm not sure what you're saying isn't being addressed, could you maybe reword what you are saying is a gap in current research and data if it's not too much trouble?

If you set out to try and answer the question - "What might our economy be like, in a world where AI/Robots, are technically capable of performing most work?"

You realize a great deal of Economists attempts to answer this - can be filed under Straw Man Fallacy.

That future situation, is so unlike the past, labeling it as "automation" & then thinking you have answered the question, by drawing on data from the past also labelled "automation", is doing no such thing.

I've been following this topic for years, and I'm not aware of a single Economist who approaches this from first principles.

In other words, start with the premise & attempt to reason from there.

What you never see, is an Economist starting from the premise - "We have a future world where Robots/AI can do most work - what follows on from that?"

Why this happens in Economics is a whole other debate, that touches on the structural shortcomings many Economists themselves observe about the discipline correctly modelling reality.

Reposting a 2 yo infographic of "The Singularity is Near" | 2019 predictions look disturbingly accurate today. by TransPlanetInjection in Futurology

[–]lughnasadh 36 points37 points  (0 children)

I see what you mean, it's just the infographic badly presents this.

The predictions are actually from 28 years ago & his 1990 book "The Age of Intelligent Machines".

Here's a full list of them.

I'm struck by how accurate they are; his only consistent mistake is labeling so many things as widespread. But almost every time he does, that tech exists and is being used - its just not gone mass market yet.

Exclusive: Walmart in talks to buy more than 40 percent of India's Flipkart - sources by [deleted] in Futurology

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This AI Powered App Judged Celebrities Based On Their Beauty by [deleted] in Futurology

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Israel Retains 10th Spot In Bloomberg Innovation Index by danielson1987 in Futurology

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DUP individuals thinking about themselves, not the party or country by camgu in northernireland

[–]lughnasadh 0 points1 point  (0 children)

UI will happen, although SF have done their best to make it unpalatable and difficult. Their victory, fortunately, will be their irrelevance on the national stage.

I agree - UI will probably happen, and it won't be SF bringing it about.

But their extremism, which brings out the Unionist counter extremism, of the Sammy Wilson's, Jamie Bryson's, OO, etc, etc - is brilliant strategy for them.

At least SF are clear who their biggest enemy is. Their biggest enemy isn't any Unionist Party or groups - it's a successful, inclusive Northern Ireland, fully of happy co-operating, mutually respectful C/N & P/U people.

You could put a UI on the long finger, probably forever, if that ever happened.

SF must know, the final push will be Dublin (FF/FG, etc) - winning over moderate C/N, mixed & U/P centre ground voters, with sensible grown-up economic arguments, to get a referendum to a 55% YES range.

No one needs the DUP voters, by the time it gets to UI voting, to get to 55%. If it gets to that stage, SF will have successfully played & used them to bring about what they want.

Would you vote for Fine Gael in The North? by AmEirecan in northernireland

[–]lughnasadh 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don't see how FG (or FF) make any sense in NI, outside of a pre-UI/run up to a UI context.

If 10-20 years in the future, UI starts looking likely - then it makes sense.

They can start going for the middle ground electorate, they would probably attract anyway in a UI.

Until then, what's the point?

DUP individuals thinking about themselves, not the party or country by camgu in northernireland

[–]lughnasadh 29 points30 points  (0 children)

for the decades ahead when Unionism will be the minority?

I don't think they are doing it for their own personal benefit (that implies graft or corruption), the issue is more coming from a small minded worldview, that can't imagine or cope with progressive, inclusive alternatives.

That these elements always seem to grab Unionism's steering wheel, is Unionism's tragedy.

It's Unionism that needs Northern Ireland to work as a future successful state, that many N/C people will prefer to a UI. So for Unionism to survive it needs to be dominated and driven by centrist progressive types who can deliver that.

You can chalk this up as another little victory for SF.

Every time they can kill the idea of an inclusive successful NI in a few more C/N hearts & minds, is a days work well done from their POV.

This is only a warm up to the more grievous self-inflicted Hard Brexit wound Unionism looks likely to inflict on itself, that will accelerate this same trend.